The Lions will wait. The Red Wings just completed their second segment.
Despite losing six in a row, the Wings were as good in this segment as they were in the first thanks to the loser’s point. Three shootout losses and two more in OT before that earned them a 12 points (3-1-6 overall) in 10 games. They had 13 points (6-4-1) in their first 11.
Remove the stupid extra goal given to the team that wins the shootout and almost all the Red Wings’ numbers have either improved or stayed the same.
|Seg 1||Seg 2||Total|
(*The splits don’t add up to the total because I didn’t include empty net goals, short handed goals and 6-on-5 goals in the chart.)
The one major exception is on 5-on-5 goals against. The Red Wings allowed two more goals than they did in the first 11 games, but with four more goals scored the difference is a minor nuisance.
The moral of the numbers: don’t panic…unless this shootout slump continues. It might, but that’s a conversation for another day. Possibly Friday. Now, just remember that the difference between six wins and three is basically effortlessly sliding a few pucks through Jimmy Howard’s five hole.
Now who has led this non-existent free fall that seems really bad but isn’t because a skills competition — which the Red Wings happen to suck in — decided the last three games and overtime decided the two games before that both of which were evenly played and could’ve or maybe should’ve been won if not for Kyle Quincey being Kyle Quincey thus making that trade for him in exchange for a first-round pick in 2012 look even worse even though the player the Lightning selected Andrei Vasilevski hasn’t really been that good? (*deep breath*) Well, injuries for one. Jonathan Ericsson missed time. Brendan Smith is out. Stephen Weiss is out. Johan Franzen was/is hurting. These things matter, especially when the Red Wings are so close to the salary cap they can’t even call up Gustav Nyquist.
And Quincey for two. He’s been bad.
To see how bad we need to look at individual performance. And to look at individual performance we go to the Goal Responsibility Metric. If you’re new to these lowly, dark, depressing parts of the internet, congratulations for making this far in life. It’s all downhill now. Also, you can read more about the GRM here. Basically we watch video of every goal scored, then assign responsibility for creating or allowing that goal.
There’s a lot of weaknesses with the metric. It’s easier to score if you’re a forward and easier to allow goals if you’re a defenseman, so defensemen have lower numbers. Also, it’s not good for evaluating goalies because it doesn’t measure any of their positives. Still, it’s useful for players to see who’s giving up a lot of goals and if anybody is making a lot of positive plays that aren’t being recorded with the traditional goals and assists.
Here’s a look at the top five players from this segment:
- Pavel Datsyuk +2.09
- Johan Franzen +2.08
- Todd Bertuzzi +2.01
- Henrik Zetterberg +2.00
- Tomas Tatar +1.34
And the bottom five players, excluding Jimmy Howard:
- Kyle Quincey -2.83
- Niklas Kronwall -1.25
- Brian Lashoff -1.02
- Adam Alquist -0.68
- Jakub Kindl -0.67
What should you know?
On the positive side: It took a little while to get going, but Tomas Tatar is living up to his reputation. With a (+1.84, -0.5) line he’s been better than Daniel Alfredsson these past 10 games, with all but a 0.5 goals created on 5-on-5.
While Pavel Datsyuk leads the team for the second straight segment, his output is down a full goal, and both he and Franzen have been huge beneficiaries of the power play. Datsyuk is just +0.58 in 5-on-5 play after being +2.59 in the first segment, while Franzen is +0.5 in even strength, which is roughly the same output he had during 5-on-5 play in the first segment. Both still rank No. 5 and No.6, respectively in 5-on-5 GRM when you remove luck, but it’s completely different situation from being first and second to being behind Justin Abdelkader.
On the negative side: It’s not so much that it’s all defensemen. That’s expected to an extent. It’s that Kyle Quincey continues to be the worst. By more than a full goal. Seriously guys, he’s the terrible. He’s so bad that my dad texts me “Kyle Quincey sucks!!” with like 45 times the exclamation points on a weekly basis. Other than that, there’s not much to say about him. He’s bad.
The other big takeaway on the negative side is who isn’t on it. After an being close to Kyle Quincey territory in the first segment Joakim Andersson almost got back to even with a -0.18 (+1.16, -1.34) performance, and actually went positive in 5-on-5 play with a +0.15 (+1.16, -1.01). The title of worst forward now goes to Dan Cleary, who hasn’t been nearly as bad as Andersson was. He’s just -0.66.
If you’re wondering about season totals, here’s the full list. Bertuzzi comes in at No. 2 because of his prowess in front of the net on the power play. Zetterberg is more than a goal better than him in 5-on-5 situations:
|Goals for||Goals Against||DIFF|
|Other team making plays||1.33||-1.33|