(Note: The following doesn’t include Tuesday’s Blue Jackets game. That was game No. 32 and will go into the next segment)
I stole the segment idea from Red Berenson who stole the idea from Mike Babcock. At the time (I can’t say for sure any more) Berenson utilized 10-game segments to evaluate his team, so I used 10 game segments.
On December 4, Grand Rapids Griffins coach Jeff Blashill explained to MLive.com that he uses five-game segments. That probably would’ve worked better when evaluating the Red Wings this time.
In the Detroit’s first five games of this segment, they went 4-1-0 and averaged 4.6 goals per game. In their final five games they went 2-1-2 and averaged two goals per game.
Together it makes up a 6-2-2 record and 14 points for the segment. Blashill said if his team can gain six points per five-game segment (12 points per 10-game segment) it’ll make the playoffs. That proved true for the Red Wings last year. With a 15-point, a 12-point and now a 14-point segment this year, the Red Wings have some breathing room more than a third of the way through the season.
Here’s how they’re doing it:
|2013-14 Averages||Segment 1||Segment 2||Segment 3|
(*The splits don’t add up to the total because I didn’t include empty-net goals, short-handed goals, 6-on-5 goals, etc. on the chart.)
Look at the goals for. It’s the second highest scoring output the Red Wings have in a segment, one behind their eighth segment from last year which had an extra game. Yet their 5-on-5 goals for is about average. The key is the power play. It has carried the Red Wings for the second straight segment. Combine that with slightly better defense while at even strength and you have a team competing for the top spot in the division.
Here’s the top five players in terms of adjusted GRM.