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Know your James Mungro Memorial Award nominee: Rafael Dolis; Is he the most JMMA of them all?

(Photo: Tom Hagerty)

(Photo: Tom Hagerty)

At the beginning of this week, Rafael Dolis was the most James Mungro of all of us.

He came to training camp as a non-roster invitee and put up solid numbers but slid quietly through camp and this competition. The James Mungro Memorial Awardo presented by (sponsor pending) could be awarded in a matter of days. Dolis is one of three remaining candidates (if you missed it, Omar Duran was ousted from major league camp and the contest.), yet we know nothing about him.

His combination of remaining anonymous and staying dominant so long is everything you ask for in a candidate.

Unfortunately for him, just pointing out this fact no longer makes him so anonymous. The rest of this post isn’t going to help either.

JMMA winners need a unique trait. Dolis has two: a 98 mph fastball and absolutely no control. Dolis is the Dominican Rick “Wild Thing” Vaughn of his generation.

His fastball propelled him to being named the Cubs’ No. 7 prospect in 2011 and to reach the majors the next year. His lack of control caused him to post a 6.39 ERA. The highlight (or lowlight) of his stint? Probably this walk-off hit by pitch. 

His fastball caused him to put up 5.0 perfect innings for the Cubs the next year. His lack of control ensured he wouldn’t get back to Wrigley field again. The Cubs released him after the 2013 season.

Dolis signed a minor league deal with the Giants for 2014, but pitched in just four games for the Giants’ Triple-A team. He lasted 4.1 innings, walked three batters and struck out four. That’s a 6.23 walks-per-nine-innings rate. Oh, he also posted a 16.62 ERA. The Giants cut him near the end of May.

What Dolis did between then and when he appeared in Lakeland is a mystery, but when he showed up, he was ready.

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Breaking down the Red Wings’ seventh segment: One aspect shows why Detroit’s playoff run might be a short one

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On February 6, the Red Wings were coming off a 3-0 win over the Avalanche the previous night. They were 8-2-0 in their last 10 games and sat second in the Atlantic Division, two points behind the NHL-leading Lightning with two games in hand.

In the month and a half that followed, Detroit posted a barely playoff-worthy 5-3-2 record in its next 10 games then went 4-6-0 in the 10 after that.

They now sit stuck at third in the Atlantic Division with 89 points, eight behind second-place Tampa Bay and 10 behind NHL leading Montreal. With 11 games remaining the Red Wings’ only motivation is to make sure Boston — five points behind — doesn’t pass them and force the Red Wings into a wildcard spot.

The stats for the seventh segment, their worst of the season:

2013-14 Avg Seg 1 Seg 2 Seg 3 Seg 4 Seg 5 Seg 6 Seg 7
GF 27.1 29 30 32 24 35 27 24
GA 27.6 22 27 25 22 26 28 31
5-on-5 GF 19.1 19 17 19 11 18 15 11
5-on-5 GA 18.4 15 18 16 11 13 19 17
PPG 6.1 5 12 10 10 9 8 8
OPP PPG 5.9 3 5 6 5 11 6 9

(*The splits don’t add up to the total because I didn’t include empty-net goals, short-handed goals, 6-on-5 goals, etc. on the chart.)

The power play still continues to dominant, but it’s becoming impossible for the unit to hide the poor play in other areas. After going -1 in goal differential last segment they went -7 in this one. Five-on-five play went from -4 to -6. Opposing teams scored three more power play goals against the Red Wings.

This could be the first sign that the Red Wings are set for an early-round playoff exit. Tampa Bay and Montreal are in the top half of the league in penalty killing (11th and 7th, respectively).  The power play can’t be the main engine driving the Red Wings’ playoff run. They need to be a good five-on-five team, and right now, they’re not.

There is one exception to this gloom, though. Here are the top 5 Red Wings this segment in terms of Adjusted GRM:

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James Mungro Memorial Award: The final four is set

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(UPDATE: Omar Duran was sent to minor league camp earlier this week. So he won’t pitch again. He’s cut too.)

Four men don’t know how close they are to internet immortality. They don’t know that to win it, they’ll have to beat out the same people they sit with in the clubhouse and the bench, the same people that make their lives easier.

With two weeks remaining we’re down to a final four in the chase for the James Mungro Memorial Award presented by (sponsor pending)

Last week we cut the obvious stragglers based on performance. This week those boarding the bus to Cut City all have at least one fatal flaw that deems them unfit to win the JMMA:

Tim Melville, P — Low-usage and not good enough. Melville entered the spring as a non-roster invitee. The Tigers used him as one, pitching him in three games up this point. Melville was good in short time — 2.25 ERA — but not spitting the fire required for a non-roster invitee to make an organization change his plans.

Kyle Ryan, P — Not the right fit for the JMMA. Ryan was always in an odd position. His common name made him sound familiar and his six games with Detroit last year made him too much of a known commodity. But he started this spring throwing up zeroes. I kept him in the competition out of respect. Ryan’s shutout streak ended this week. He allowed three runs in one inning on March 18 against the Pirates. His ERA jumped to 3.86. He’s now too well known and not good enough for the JMMA.

Aaron Westlake, 1B – Not good enough. Westlake almost boarded the bus to Cut City last week, but survived because of his strong slugging percentage. A week later, his OPS is less than Xavier Avery’s and his slugging percentage is almost the same: .379 t0 .368. Avery is more fun than Westlake and better at baseball. If Westlake can’t beat out Avery he won’t stand a chance against the pitchers

Three pitchers and one position player remain in the competition.

They are:

Xavier Avery, OF

Rafael Dolis, P

Omar Duran, P

Angel Nesbitt, P

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Playing the Mock Draft game: The where is easy; it’s the who that’s difficult

(Photo: Steve Schar)

(Photo: Steve Schar)

In the primer to this year’s Mock Draft Game we discovered that this year was extremely similar to last year: no knows what the hell the Lions will do.

But we’re past the combine and through most of free agency. The draft lingers. It’s just 43 days away.

Ndamukong Suh is gone. Nick Fairley is gone. The Lions’ needs are obvious. The draft experts should have a handle on who the Lions are looking at by now, right?

Here’s who our 15 draft experts have the Lions selecting with the 23rd overall pick:

(Note: This year we’re swapping SI’s Doug Farrar for SI’s Chris Burke and NFL.com’s Matt Smith for NFL.com’s Lance Zierlein. Burke is just more on top of it this year than Farrar and Smith is no longer doing mock drafts for NFL.com so we’re going with Zierlein, who is billed as a draft expert.) 

1. Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State (4 out of 15) 

Experts picking Goldman: Fox Sports’ Peter Schrager, SB Nation’s Dan Kader, NFL.com’s Bucky Brooks, ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr.

2-T. Cameron Erving, C, Florida State (2 out of 15) 

Experts picking Erving: ESPN’s Todd McShay, Rotoworld’s Josh Norris

2-T. Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami (2 out of 15)

Experts picking Flowers: CBS Sports’ Rob Rang, CBS Sports’ Dane Brugler

2-T. Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin (2 out of 15) 

Experts picking Gordon: USA TODAY’s Nate Davis, Optimum Scouting’s Eric Galko

5-T. Arik Armstead, DT, Oregon (1 out of 15) 

Experts picking: Armstead: Bleacher Report’s Matt Miller

5-T. T.J. Clemmings, G/T, Pittsburgh (1 out of 15)

Experts picking Clemmings: SI’s Chris Burke

5-T. D.J. Humphries, OT, Florida (1 out of 15) 

Experts picking Humphries: NFL.com’s Daniel Jeremiah

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Know your James Mungro Memorial Award nominee: Omar Duran, the anonymous one

(Photo: Tom Hagerty)

(Photo: Tom Hagerty)

The internet provides an inflated view of prospects. They are no longer anonymous or just names you hear about. Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus and anybody who wants to can go to Montgomery or Erie or El Paso and take video of every swing or every throw a prospect has.

YouTube is full of those videos. Xavier Avery has played in 32 MLB games but has two-plus pages of videos worth of interviews and swings. Omar Duran has none of that.

There are zero videos of Duran on YouTube. He doesn’t have a wikipedia page. His time with the Tigers is summed up in three different articles, two of which come from a blog.

But the most anonymous man in the competition might have the best pure ability. It’s the reason the Athletics signed him out of the Dominican at age 18.

Duran throws a 96-98 mph fastball and has a devastating breaking ball. In seven professional seasons he has allowed four home runs.

His biggest problem is control. Duran has walked 5.7 hitters per nine innings in his career. It’s the reason he never rose above Double-A in the Athletics’ system and the team released him this offseason.

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James Mungro Memorial Award: The purge is here for the Detroit Tigers

Buh-bye

Buh-bye

Listen to that sound. Do your hear it? That engine idling?

That’s the sound of a Greyhound waiting to jet to Cut City.

Almost two full weeks into spring training, 12 players are still in the hunt for the James Mungro Memorial Award presented by (sponsor pending) because of a roster snafu. We have to cut the field down to a manageable size if we’re to find a winner in the next three weeks.

There were no disqualifications due to feature stories or otherwise, although Kyle Ryan got close, topping a notebook on March 7. The following cuts all performance-based. They were obvious targets.

Those on the bus to Cut City:

Josh Zeid, P: 6.75 ERA in 4.2 innings pitched. He could make an argument that his ERA could drop back into a respectable range given another week. Two things: The JMMA doesn’t give people extra weeks just because; Hitters have a .438 average against him.

Alex Wilson, P: 9.00 ERA in 4.0 IP. Wilson has pitched in four games and allowed runs in two of them. Hitters are batting .375 off of him.

Alberto Cabrera, P: 9.00 ERA in 5.0 IP. Cabrera started the spring with two hitless outings, then gave up five earned runs in his next two. There’s some talent there — hitters are batting .235 off of him and he has four strikeouts in five innings — but he has control issues, walking a batter per inning.

Jefry Marte, 3B: .188/.235/.250 line in 10 games. Marte had a shot. If Nick Castellanos goes down, the Tigers don’t have any ready-made replacements. Marte isn’t taking advantage, though, with three hits in 16 at bats.

Jason Krizan, OF: .083/.077/.333 line in eight games. Bad news: Krizan is 1-for-12 this spring. Good news: That one hit was a two-run home run. That’s a nice consolation prize, I guess.

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Know your James Mungro Memorial Award nominee: Xavier Avery, a new Ezequiel Carrera?

You can spend your time theorizing about how Haloti Ngata will fit in with the Lions six months from now. I prefer to spend mine breaking down performances from fake baseball games.

A purge is coming to the James Mungro Memorial Award presented by (sponsor pending) on Friday. Spoiler alert: Xavier Avery will not be a part of it.

As of Wednesday morning Avery had posted a .444/.500/.556 slash line in the five games. Some are calling him the next Ezequiel Carrera. If you recall, Carrera nearly won the JMMA last year. I don’t think that’s an apt comparison, though. Xavier Avery might be better — and more importantly, is much cooler — than Ezequiel Carrera.

His name is Xavier Avery. That automatically makes him cooler than everybody you went to high school with. He played little league with Jason Heyward. He was rated a four-star athlete as a football player andcommitted to Georgia. Then Orioles drafted him in the second round in 2008 and Avery said, “Welp, I might as well make money in athletics without developing traumatic brain injuries at the same time.”*

At one point he was rated by Baseball America as the Orioles’ third-best prospect behind Manny Machado and Zach Britton. During his first spring training he trashed talked a pitcher so much he nearly incited a brawl — in an intrasquad game.

Xavier Avery is good at things. He gets under people’s skin. He poses in pictures with yorkipoodles named after characters from The Wire. He knows how to dress like a strawberry-picking cowboy. Xavier Avery is cooler than not just Ezequiel Carrera, but most of us.

If only he could stick in the majors.

In seven seasons of professional baseball, Avery has played in 32 MLB games. All of them came in 2012 with the Orioles. He hit .223 and struck out 23 times.

Avery has posted decent numbers in the minors at times, including last year (.275/.344/.413), but nobody seems to want him.

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